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Superflu triggers NHS ‘worst case scenario’ as hospitalisations soar

England’s hospitals are under siege from a record spike in mutant flu cases. 

Surveillance programmes that monitor England’s outbreak suggest flu hospital admissions are up 55 per cent on last week alone.

Figures show more than 2,600 beds alone were taken up by flu patients every day last week, the highest ever for this time of year. 

Of these, 106 were in critical care beds, up over a third on the 69 logged last week.

It also means there are enough flu patients each day to fill more than three whole hospital trusts. 

In seven NHS trusts alone, hospitalisations have more than quadrupled on the previous week. 

Health chiefs today warned the virus had plunged the NHS into a ‘worst case scenario’ situation, with with ‘still no flu peak in sight’. 

Projections have suggested there could be between 5,000 and 8,000 hospital cases by the end of this week. The highest ever recorded was 5,400.

People have begun to mask up to protect themselves from contracting the flu

Rates of the winter vomiting bug norovirus, meanwhile, are also up 35 per cent in hospitals compared to the previous week, as winter viruses engulf hospitals.

Separate NHS figures also show A&E demand hit a record high in November at 2.35 million while there were over 48,000 more ambulance incidents compared to last year. It comes as demand for A&Es and ambulance services is already soaring.

At least six hospitals have already declared ‘critical incidents’ amid the surge in flu that has also seen Covid-era mask mandates reintroduced and visitor bans implemented. 

Bosses yesterday also issued an urgent plea to parents to get their children vaccinated against flu in a bid to protect their grandparents at Christmas. 

Yet despite safety fears, the British Medical Association (BMA) has still planned to stage a five-day strike next week following a row over resident doctors’ pay and working conditions. 

Thousands of medics — formerly known as junior doctors — who are demanding a 26 per cent pay rise, are set to walk out from December 17 until December 22.

In a last-minute attempt to thwart the action, the Government yesterday put forward an offer to the BMA, which they will now put to their members. The result, however, won’t be known until Monday. 

Professor Meghana Pandit, NHS National Medical Director, said: ‘With record demand for A&E and ambulances and an impending resident doctors strike, this unprecedented wave of super flu is leaving the NHS facing a worst-case scenario for this time of year – with staff being pushed to the limit to keep providing the best possible care for patients.

‘The numbers of patients in hospital with flu is extremely high for this time of year.

‘Even worse, it continues to rise and the peak is not in sight yet, so the NHS faces an extremely challenging few weeks ahead.

‘NHS staff have pulled out all the stops to vaccinate more people than last year, and with just a week left to ensure maximum immunity from flu for Christmas Day, I would urge anyone eligible for the vaccine to please book an appointment or visit a walk-in site as soon as possible. 

‘Vaccination is the best protection against getting potentially very ill and it also helps protect those around you.

‘We have prepared earlier for winter than ever before, and stress-tested services to ensure people have a range of ways to get the help they need and avoid needing to go to A&E.

‘For non-life-threatening care, people should call NHS 111 or use 111 online, which can direct you to the most appropriate place, and use A&E and 999 for life threatening conditions and serious injuries.’

Dr Vicky Price, president of the Society for Acute Medicine, also said: ‘Clinicians across the country are reporting an overload of patients not just with flu, but also norovirus and RSV, all of which place further strain an already buckling system.

‘What is perhaps most concerning is the shifting definition of what constitutes a ‘critical incident’ in the NHS. 

‘As waiting times stretch to 12, 18 and even 24 hours, the thresholds for crisis seem to be constantly moved.

‘The situation in emergency departments has become so dire that what was once considered a critical incident is now seen as normal and routine. 

‘What is happening is not an isolated emergency but the culmination of systemic failure.’

According to the data, Whittington Health, The Shrewsbury and Telford Hospitals, Royal Berkshire, Royal Surrey County Hospitals, Sherwood Forest Hospitals, University Hospitals Southampton and University Hospitals Bristol NHS Foundation Trusts all saw flu hospitalisations at least quadruple in the last week. 

The troublesome mutant H3N2 flu strain is believed to be more infectious and leading to more severe illness and hospital admissions than last year.

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